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Africa > Comoros, Union of the

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Union of the Comoros: First Review Under the Staff-Monitored Program and Request for Extension; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Comoros is a small, fragile island state (population: 850,000) with persistently low and shock-prone growth and a high risk of external debt distress. Officially recorded COVID-related casualties have remained low (4,569 infections and 151 deaths so far). Growth projections remain at 1.6 percent in 2021 and 3.8 percent in 2022, supported in part by progress in vaccinations.
Keywords:
Comoros' Staff Monitored program; IMF team; SMP review; Comorian authorities; IMF's transparency policy; management of the International Monetary Fund; SMP objective; Arrears; Fiscal stance; Current spending; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Union of the Comoros: First Review Under the Staff-Monitored Program and Request for Extension; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Comoros is a small, fragile island state (population: 850,000) with persistently low and shock-prone growth and a high risk of external debt distress. Officially recorded COVID-related casualties have remained low (4,569 infections and 151 deaths so far). Growth projections remain at 1.6 percent in 2021 and 3.8 percent in 2022, supported in part by progress in vaccinations.
Keywords:
Comoros' Staff Monitored program; IMF team; SMP review; Comorian authorities; IMF's transparency policy; management of the International Monetary Fund; SMP objective; Arrears; Fiscal stance; Current spending; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Union of Comoros: Request for a Staff-Monitored Program-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Comoros is a small, fragile island state (population: 850,000) with persistently low and shock-prone growth. The last Article IV Consultation (completed in early 2020) assessed Comoros’ fragility as arising from two vicious circles: economic fragility manifests in low fiscal revenue, insufficient government investment in human and physical capital, and pronounced vulnerability to shocks; while institutional fragility manifests in governance challenges, low government implementation capacity, and a weak judicial system. The circles feed into each other, undermining economic performance and stability. Overcoming fragility requires breaking both circles.
Keywords:
COVID pandemic; SMP design; SMP objective; burden indicator; implementation capacity; IMF's transparency policy; COVID-19; Global; Africa; West Africa; Southern Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Union of Comoros: Request for a Staff-Monitored Program-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Comoros is a small, fragile island state (population: 850,000) with persistently low and shock-prone growth. The last Article IV Consultation (completed in early 2020) assessed Comoros’ fragility as arising from two vicious circles: economic fragility manifests in low fiscal revenue, insufficient government investment in human and physical capital, and pronounced vulnerability to shocks; while institutional fragility manifests in governance challenges, low government implementation capacity, and a weak judicial system. The circles feed into each other, undermining economic performance and stability. Overcoming fragility requires breaking both circles.
Keywords:
COVID pandemic; SMP design; SMP objective; burden indicator; implementation capacity; IMF's transparency policy; COVID-19; Global; Africa; West Africa; Southern Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Defying the Odds: Remittances During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Mr. Kangni R Kpodar, Mr. Montfort Mlachila, Mr. Saad N Quayyum, and Vigninou Gammadigbe
This paper provides an early assessment of the dynamics and drivers of remittances during the COVID-19 pandemic, using a newly compiled monthly remittance dataset for a sample of 52 countries, of which 16 countries with bilateral remittance data. The paper documents a strong resilience in remittance flows, notwithstanding an unprecedent global recession triggered by the pandemic. Using the local projection approach to estimate the impulse response functions of remittance flows during Jan 2020-Dec 2020, the paper provides evidence that: (i) remittances responded positively to COVID-19 infection rates in migrant home countries, underscoring its role as an important automatic stabilizer; (ii) stricter containment measures have the unintended consequence of dampening remittances; and (iii) a shift from informal to formal remittance channels due to travel restrictions appears to have also played a role in the surge in formal remittances. Lastly, the size of the fiscal stimulus in host countries is positively associated with remittances as the fiscal response cushions the economic impact of the pandemic.
Keywords:
Remittances; COVID-19; Shocks; impulse response function; infection rate; home economy; remittance flow; corridor data; Fiscal stimulus; Migration; Inward remittances; Global
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
A Difficult Road to Recovery
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa is struggling to navigate an unprecedented health and economic crisis—one that, in just a few months, has jeopardized decades of hard-won development gains and upended the lives and livelihoods of millions.

Keywords:
reopening; recovery; crisis; pandemic; recession; REO; financing gap; commodity-exporting country; policy mix; governance reform; policy challenge
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
A Difficult Road to Recovery
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa is struggling to navigate an unprecedented health and economic crisis—one that, in just a few months, has jeopardized decades of hard-won development gains and upended the lives and livelihoods of millions.

Keywords:
reopening; recovery; crisis; pandemic; recession; REO; financing gap; commodity-exporting country; policy mix; governance reform; policy challenge