Narrow Your Choices

Refine By Countries

Refine By Topic

Refine By Language

Refine By Date

—

Refine By IMF Taxonomy

Refine By JEL Taxonomy

Refine by LOC Taxonomy

Refine By THEMA Taxonomy

  • Print
  • Save

Books and Analytical Papers > IMF Staff Country Reports

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 68 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
Clear All Modify Search
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Algérie: Questions Générales
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Ce document examine les implications macroéconomiques et budgétaires du changement climatique en Algérie. Il met en évidence une série de risques associés aux changements prévus dans les conditions météorologiques et au modèle de croissance de l’Algérie dépendant des hydrocarbures dans le contexte de la transition énergétique mondiale. L’évolution prévue des modèles climatiques au cours des prochaines décennies pose des risques pour la prospérité, la sécurité alimentaire et le développement social dans la région, la majeure partie de sa population vivant déjà sous des conditions difficiles conditions climatiques. Le document examine également les options de politique budgétaire pour atteindre les objectifs climatiques de l’Algérie. Une analyse basée sur l’outil d’évaluation de la politique climatique du FMI et de la Banque mondiale suggère que même l’élimination partielle des subventions énergétiques existantes aiderait l’Algérie à atteindre ses objectifs de réduction des émissions de gaz à effet de serre, à augmenter les recettes fiscales, à encourager le développement des énergies renouvelables et à générer des avantages considérables pour l’environnement et la santé publique. Ces réformes créeraient un espace budgétaire pour les dépenses budgétaires prioritaires, y compris les transferts sociaux ciblés et les investissements dans l’adaptation au changement climatique. Le renforcement de la gestion des finances publiques permettrait à l’Algérie de maximiser la croissance et le dividende vert des dépenses publiques.
Keywords:
relever le défi du changement climatique; B. la politique budgétaire; Simulation CPAT; les émissions de gaz à effet de serre; B. Le changement climatique en Algérie; Changement climatique; Émissions de gaz à effet de serre; Politique climatique; Catastrophes naturelles; Global.
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Algérie: Consultations de 2023 au titre de l’article IV-communiqué de presse; rapport des services du FMI et déclaration de l’administrateur pour l’Algérie
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
L’économie algérienne se relevait juste de la pandémie lorsqu’elle a été frappée par les répercussions de la guerre en Ukraine et une succession de sécheresses. Ces chocs ont alimenté l’inflation, même si la hausse des cours mondiaux des hydrocarbures a aussi augmenté les recettes publiques et les exportations. L’Algérie a enregistré une croissance vigoureuse en 2023 et sa position extérieure est restée solide, avec un excédent des transactions extérieures pour la deuxième année consécutive et une nouvelle accumulation de réserves de change. L’inflation demeure élevée et pourrait s’enraciner. Les lois de finances 2023–24 visent à soutenir le pouvoir d’achat des ménages, mais risquent d’épuiser les marges de manœuvre qui protègent le budget contre la volatilité des recettes. Les réformes structurelles progressent, avec la promulgation de la loi monétaire et bancaire et la mise en œuvre de la budgétisation par programmes et du code de l’investissement de 2022. Des investissements dans la transition numérique permettraient de renforcer la gouvernance et la transparence, de réduire les risques de corruption et d’améliorer la prestation des services.
Keywords:
la liquidité du marché; opération d’absorption de liquidité; risque d’inflation; le resserrement de la politique monétaire; système d’évaluation du crédit; pression inflationniste; prix des hydrocarbures; finances publiques; IPC de l’Algérie; Inflation; Planification et préparation du budget; les banques d’État; Global; Moyen-Orient; Afrique du Nord; Afrique orientale; Europe.
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Algeria: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This Selected Issues paper examines the macroeconomic and fiscal implications of climate change in Algeria. It highlights a range of risks associated with the projected shifts in weather patterns and Algeria’s own hydrocarbon-reliant growth model in the context of the global energy transition. The projected shift in climate patterns over the coming decades poses risks to prosperity, food security, and social development in the region, with most of its population already living under challenging climate conditions. The paper also discusses fiscal policy options to achieve Algeria’s climate goals. An analysis based on the joint IMF-World Bank Climate Policy Assessment Tool suggests that even partial elimination of existing energy subsidies would help Algeria achieve its greenhouse gases emission reduction goals, boost fiscal revenue, encourage the expansion of renewable energy, and generate considerable environmental and public health benefits. Those reforms would create fiscal space for priority budget spending including on targeted social transfers and investment in adaptation to climate change. Strengthening public finance management would enable Algeria to maximize the growth and green dividend of public spending.
Keywords:
addressing climate change challenge; B. fiscal policy; CPAT simulation; emissions of greenhouse gases; B. Algeria's climate change; Climate change; Greenhouse gas emissions; Climate policy; Natural disasters; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Algeria: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Algeria
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
The 2023 Article IV Consultation discusses that the Algerian economy is estimated to have grown by 4.2 percent in 2023, a robust performance owing to a rebound in hydrocarbon production and strong performance in the industry, construction, and service sectors. The near-term outlook is broadly positive, but inflation remains a concern. Medium-term economic prospects hinge on efforts to diversify the economy and the ability to attract private investment, and are subject to several risks. The reforms embodied in the Monetary and Banking Law could be an impetus to strengthen the credit market infrastructure, develop long-term savings products, and advance financial inclusion. Sustained and bold reforms would tap the potential of the private sector as driver of sustained growth and job creation. The implementation of the Investment Law and the enactment of a new Land Law aim at fostering private sector initiative and investment and should be complemented with reforming the state-owned enterprises sector and making product and labor market more flexible.
Keywords:
market liquidity; liquidity-absorption operation; inflation risk; monetary policy tightening; credit assessment System; inflation pressure; hydrocarbon price; public finance; Algeria's CPI; Inflation; Budget planning and preparation; State-owned banks; Global; Middle East; North Africa; East Africa; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Algeria: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
The 2022 Article IV Consultation with Algeria highlights that the upswing in hydrocarbon prices has alleviated pressures on public and external finances and the post-pandemic recovery has likely gathered pace. The prospects for 2023 are favorable but growth is projected to decelerate and inflation to remain high in the medium term. The near-term outlook for the Algerian economy has materially improved, buoyed by the upswing in hydrocarbon prices. The announced sizeable rise in spending under the 2023 budget could reverse the progress achieved on narrowing the deficit since 2018, weaken the resilience of public finances and add to inflation pressures. The medium-term deficit trajectory also carries risks for macroeconomic stability. Continued wide fiscal deficits and increasing principal repayments coming due on past monetary financing would result in large fiscal financing needs through the medium term. As the authorities have ruled out foreign borrowing, meeting these financing needs would heap significant pressure on the domestic banking system and pose risks to financial and macroeconomic stability. Gradual fiscal rebalancing guided by a rules-based framework is needed to enhance the resilience of public finances and safeguard macroeconomic stability in the medium term.
Keywords:
money market rate; oil prices decline; financial asset; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; headline inflation; Inflation; Budget planning and preparation; State-owned banks; Tax administration core functions; Budget execution and treasury management; Global; Middle East and Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Algeria: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Algeria’s economic recovery from the pandemic has been buoyed by the rise in international hydrocarbon prices. Fiscal and external surpluses are expected in 2022 for the first time in years. Inflation has nevertheless accelerated, as elsewhere, and has become a complex policy challenge. Monetary policy remained accommodative, while the dinar appreciated in the second half of the year. The authorities have gradually advanced on their structural reform agenda, with the enactment of a new law on investment, renewed efforts to accelerate digitalization, significant progress on tax and public finance management reforms, and a forthcoming revision to the central bank law.
Keywords:
money market rate; oil prices decline; financial asset; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; headline inflation; Inflation; Budget planning and preparation; State-owned banks; Tax administration core functions; Budget execution and treasury management; Global; Middle East and Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Algeria: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This Selected Issues paper discusses designing a rules-based fiscal framework for Algeria. Algeria’s government has set a number of fiscal reform priorities and aims to maintain prudent and sustainable policies. This paper discusses the design of a rules-based fiscal framework which could help rebuild buffers and support the government’s policy agenda. The proposed calibration, which relies on two separate pillars— a gross debt pillar and a savings pillar—is well suited to Algeria and to its long-term objectives. The paper finds that building a fiscal buffer of about 40 percent of gross domestic product, via the combination of a savings floor and a safe gross debt target, could preserve medium-term fiscal sustainability and insure public finances against hydrocarbon price shocks. The savings floor is calibrated based on a stochastic approach so as to protect Algerian public finances against hydrocarbon price shocks. The debt anchor, or medium-term gross debt target, is calibrated so as to prevent debt from reaching potentially unsustainable territory under a wide range of macro-fiscal scenarios. A multiyear transition period is needed to set the proposed rules-based framework in place.
Keywords:
savings buffer; inflation dynamics; food inflation; inflation distribution; consumer price inflation; Inflation; Oil prices; Fiscal governance; Fiscal rules; Global; Middle East and Central Asia