Exports Have Become Less Diversified D. Machine Learning Algorithms to Explore Export Diversification Options E. The Application to Uruguay F. Conclusion References FIGURES 1. Number of High-RCA Exports vs GDP Growth and Growth Volatility 2. Export Diversification in Countries of Similar Sizes to Uruguay 3. The Number of High-RCA Exports from Uruguay, 1962–2018 4. Actual and Recommended Export Composition for High-RCA Exports TABLES 1. Summary Statistics of the Algorithm Recommendations 2. Actual and Recommended Export Composition for High
algorithms identify 144, 155, and 189 products from the SITC 4-digit categories as products that Uruguay could have a comparative advantage in. The hit rate measures the percentage of recommendations with an actual RCA score greater than 1, that is, those Uruguay is already exporting a lot of. The top-100 hit rate measures the percentage of the top 100 recommendations from each algorithm with an actual RCA score greater than 1. Table 1. Uruguay: Summary Statistics of the Algorithm Recommendations Product-based KNN Country-based KNN SVD
, the level of end-of-day failure remains slightly higher in terms of value of transactions (about 1.2%), while it is low in terms of volume (about 0.35). In order to reduce settlement failures to insignificant level in terms of value, MT may consider to strengthen its stress testing by analyzing various scenarios for the uncovered cash positions and further fine-tuning adjustment of the optimization algorithm. Recommendation 10 Assets used to settle the ultimate payment obligations arising from securities transactions should carry little or no credit risk
algorithm. Recommendation 11 In order to fully comply with the recommendation, it is recommended that MT: - Carry out full-back testing including also market participants; - Develop and implement a proactive risk analysis methodology to ensure that adequate measures will be taken to contain the relevant risks; - Carry out external audit of its procedures and arrangements for disaster recovery and business continuity; - Carry out external audit of SIA’s contingency plans and back-up facilities that ensure smooth and speedy disaster recovery and business