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International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

EXTENSION OF THE ARRANGEMENT-DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS 1 December 7, 2015 Approved By Abebe Selassie, Chris Lane (IMF) and John Panzer (IDA) Prepared by the International Monetary Fund and International Development Association Liberia’s risk of external debt distress has increased from low to moderate . The combined impacts of the Ebola crisis and the sharp decline in commodity prices have significantly affected the growth and exports outlook, contributing to deteriorated debt sustainability. Under the baseline scenario, all debt indicators are

International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Introduction My authorities thank the Executive Board, Management and Staff for their continued support to Liberia especially during the Ebola outbreak. As a result of the large-scale international response to the crisis and the authorities’ efforts to implement policy measures aimed at getting to and maintaining zero new infection, the World Health Organization (WHO) on September 3, 2015 declared the country Ebola-free. However, the long lasting effects of the Ebola crisis on economic and social development require significant resources to boost economic