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International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Exports Have Become Less Diversified D. Machine Learning Algorithms to Explore Export Diversification Options E. The Application to Uruguay F. Conclusion References FIGURES 1. Number of High-RCA Exports vs GDP Growth and Growth Volatility 2. Export Diversification in Countries of Similar Sizes to Uruguay 3. The Number of High-RCA Exports from Uruguay, 1962–2018 4. Actual and Recommended Export Composition for High-RCA Exports TABLES 1. Summary Statistics of the Algorithm Recommendations 2. Actual and Recommended Export Composition for High

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

exchange rate appreciation and domestic wage increases that reduced the competitiveness of the more traditional non-commodity exports, and the fact that few new non-commodity export categories have emerged to replace the ones that lost traction. Reducing the disruptive impact of commodity price cycles on the normal industrialization process while maintaining the comparative advantage in commodity exports is an important policy challenge. D. Machine Learning Algorithms to Explore Export Diversification Options 15. A collaborative-filtering based methodology is